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Helicopter Drop of Money - Is It Feasible in Practice?
Gábrišová, Nela ; Holub, Tomáš (advisor) ; Adam, Tomáš (referee)
The main goal of this thesis is to discuss the famous Milton Friedman's concept of Helicopter Drop of Money in context of its applicability in the real world as a possible solution to liquidity trap. For better understanding, the thesis briefly de- scribes conduct of traditional and unconventional monetary policies. Key focus is put on describing assumptions necessary for the concept to yield desirable economic outcomes, and on detailed analysis of periods when zero lower bound on nominal interest rates is binding. Furthermore, roles of agents involved in execution of the concept, and important channels of transmission process are discussed from idealised theoretical view to real world possibilities of feasible execution. Additionally, prac- tical experience with direct cash distribution in Australia, and with quantitative easing programmes in Japan and the USA are explained. The last part analyses effects of increased monetary base on CPI inflation, money multiplier M2, and GDP in Japan and the USA using vector autoregression. JEL Classificiation E31, E43, E51, E52 Keywords Helicopter drop of money, quantitative easing, monetary base, liquidity trap, zero lower bound Author's email nela.gabrisova@gmail.com Supervisor's email tomas.holub@cnb.cz
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Granger predictability of oil prices after the great recession
Benk, S. ; Gillman, Max
Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970ís oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since ináation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger (1969) predictability of nominal factors to oil prices, using one adjustment to monetary aggregates. This adjustment is the subtraction from the monetary aggregates of the 2008-2009 Federal Reserve borrowing of reserves from other Central Banks (Swaps), made after US reserves turned negative. This adjustment is key in that Granger predictability from standard monetary aggregates is found only with the Swaps subtracted.
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Helicopter Drop of Money - Is It Feasible in Practice?
Gábrišová, Nela ; Holub, Tomáš (advisor) ; Adam, Tomáš (referee)
The main goal of this thesis is to discuss the famous Milton Friedman's concept of Helicopter Drop of Money in context of its applicability in the real world as a possible solution to liquidity trap. For better understanding, the thesis briefly de- scribes conduct of traditional and unconventional monetary policies. Key focus is put on describing assumptions necessary for the concept to yield desirable economic outcomes, and on detailed analysis of periods when zero lower bound on nominal interest rates is binding. Furthermore, roles of agents involved in execution of the concept, and important channels of transmission process are discussed from idealised theoretical view to real world possibilities of feasible execution. Additionally, prac- tical experience with direct cash distribution in Australia, and with quantitative easing programmes in Japan and the USA are explained. The last part analyses effects of increased monetary base on CPI inflation, money multiplier M2, and GDP in Japan and the USA using vector autoregression. JEL Classificiation E31, E43, E51, E52 Keywords Helicopter drop of money, quantitative easing, monetary base, liquidity trap, zero lower bound Author's email nela.gabrisova@gmail.com Supervisor's email tomas.holub@cnb.cz
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Analysis US Monetary Policy between the years 2001-2005
Binka, Martin ; Dočkal, Dalibor (advisor) ; Štěpánek, Pavel (referee)
With the extension and deepening of the financial and economic crisis, many views are directed to pre-crisis monetary policy of the central bank of the United States. This work is focused on the analysis of the value of federal interest rates in 2001-2005. The analysis is performed by using selected monetary policies - famous Taylor rule, McCallum rule and Gali rule. The work provides us with a comprehensive view of the interest rate compared with the outputs of these monetary rules.
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